by picksfromthepaddock |
ITV Racing Tips : Saturday 27th May
A race that all punters often curse, the dreaded seven runner field.
On first glance Berkshire looked the one to be siding with for the each way money but once again we backers are left with just the two places available. A boring choice I know but Mount Logan looks the most likely winner. A horse with a course and distance victory to his name and he’s been victorious in two of his last three seasonal debuts. Trainer Roger Varian has his yard in good order and hopefully Mount Logan can add to his tally.
MOUNT LOGAN (WIN) – NAP
Yorkidding has been in very consistent form this term having never finished outside of the top three in all three of his starts. That being said however he’s yet to finish with his head infront and although this looks a weaker contest than his last run he continues to climb up the weights.
Parliamentarian has a hat full of potential and after just the five races looks a likely improver but a lot has to be taken on trust and although he’s bound to give a great account of himself doesn’t provide too much in the way of value.
Moorside looks a hard horse to place but I’m praying that the step up to this sort of marathon trip is going to bring out the best in him. A recent run should aid his fitness and judged on breeding he’s had relatives win at distances up to 1m6f so it shouldn’t be too much of a concern for a trainer (Charlie Hills) who loves a winner here at Haydock.
Curbyourenthusiasm seems to have been around for a while but it came as a shock to see he’s only six years old and may still have life left to compete at this sort of level. He’ll appreciate this trip with two wins and two placed efforts from five starts at around this trip, including a second here at York. A current double figure price looks generous and a decent each-way bet may be the answer.
However we may have a future long distance handicap star in the form of four year old Frontiersman. A recent return to Newmarket saw him pull off an impressive victory and indicate a step up in trip wont be of any concern. Charlie Appleby can ready a handicapper in races like this and will have his charge ready to go.
Dal Harraild is also worth pinpointing and has the tools to run a big race but having to carry top weight may be too much of a burden.
|Check out PicksFromThePaddock's membership for exclusive selections|
As with the first race we’ve covered at Goodwood today another curse for punters is fifteen runner fields. Now left with a huge field but just the first three places to be paid out. After letting out a sigh we’ll still endeavour to crack the code and we hope that Clive Cox has the answer in the form of Graphite Storm. He’s run very credibly in bigger runner fields previously so this sort of cavalry charge wont be an issue. He represents the same connections of group race winner Kodi Bear and although not at that sort of level could provide both owner and trainer with another televised victor.
Naval Warfare and Maths Prize are the ones I fear most but with so many runners it’s very much a race to be tentative with.
GRAPHITE STORM (E/W)
The second of our duo of races from Goodwood sees a handful of apprentice jockeys given opportunities to compete with the best and in this instance I’m siding with one of the up and coming riders. Mark Johnston enters three into the race and it’s not a rarity that he wins with what is considered his second string.
Town Charter finished a very credible second behind Mubtasim when last seen and if he’s progressed for his break may surprise a few.
Horroob hasn’t put a foot wrong with two victories this season but from a wide draw and after what looked a hard fought battle last time seems worth opposing.
Of the remainder Top Score and Hyde Park are very likely to put in a good showing.
TOWN CHARTER (E/W)
Once again another seven runner field and if truth be told I’d have been all over the William Haggas trained Second Thought to finish in the top three that’s IF (a very big “if”) we had a field of eight to pay out on three places. Unfortunately the betting gods don’t seem to be on the side of punters seeking any sort of value today and once again I’m left siding with a favourite despite it being likely to go off at odds on.
Harry Angel will benefit from his seasonal return and should strip fitter. He has by far the best form on offer and should have enough in his locker to demolish a field of this nature.
Take note of the Ballydoyle runner Alphabet who represents some of the best connections in the whole racing world but I still have to side with the Cox horse.
HARRY ANGEL (WIN)
The minimum five furlong trip will provide an almighty charge as nineteen runners look set to battle it out in this very competitive handicap on the Knavesmire.
Both Out Do, Gamesome and Love On The Rocks were scheduled to race at last weeks meeting here at the same venue but all three were pulled out due to the soft conditions. With much better ground expected all three have fine chances.
Trainer Charlie Hills knows what he’s doing with his sprinters and has a great record here at York. Love On The Rocks is still an unknown quantity at the age of four and has been handed a low weight. If he can take a big step up in terms of opposition then he’s set to put in a decent effort.
David O’Meara who’s another trainer that loves grabbing winners here at York as can be seen by the great runs his horses put in here last week. Out Do was heavily fancied for a race last week and no doubt will be fancied once again today.
Gamesome is a horse I heavily backed when he was expected to run last week but sadly didn’t make it into the stalls. I’m still equally as confident despite the ground conditions being vastly different and looks a tad overpriced at the current odds.
It’s so tough to split the aforementioned trio that I’m going to side with all of them. With nineteen runners I’m hoping at least one, if not more, can place at least.
OUT DO (E/W)
LOVE ON THE ROCKS (E/W)
Being built as a bit of a “match race” between Washington DC and Quiet Reflection some of the best sprinters line up to take on the minimum trip. I’m personally a huge fan of Quiet Reflection but she makes her comeback here after a slightly disappointing end to last term.
Washington DC has the benefit of recent races and the fitness edge should be on his side but I’m actually going to oppose both. With twelve runners I hope that Kathy can finally show the promise displayed last term and give some of the top sprinters something to seriously think about. A decent return will see him improve further and it’s easy to forget he finished just one length behind Quiet Reflection in last years Commonwealth Cup and finished ahead of Washington DC in the same race. He may be readily discounted by some but he definitely has the ability to cause a shock.